Episode details

Radio 4,14 Oct 2026,28 mins
Fact-check: Will Scottish pensioners really be funding English social care?
More or LessAvailable for over a year
Tim Harford investigates some of the numbers in the news. This week: (00:40) First Minister John Swinney has claimed that Scottish pensioners are set to lose 拢2000, with the money going to fund English social care. We gently suggest he might like to consider the existence of the Barnett formula, and explain that, when you do, the picture looks very different. (06:08 ) The Liberal Democrats have dug out data on maternity injuries that they claim is 鈥榓 shocking indictment of our NHS maternity services鈥�. We explore flaws in their analysis and ask an expert what a better source of data tells us about maternal healthcare. (13:20) Professor Terence Tao is good at maths. Extremely good at maths. We ask him how he feels about AI being better at maths than him. (15:49) Great news! The UK is reducing its deficit at the fastest rate of any G7 nation. Except we鈥檙e not. Ah, shame. But we are planning to! Fantastic! But we鈥檝e got reason to be sceptical of these plans. That鈥檚 a pity. Join the FT鈥檚 Chris Giles on the economic and emotional rollercoaster that is the UK鈥檚 fiscal trajectory. (21:14) The series reaches its intellectual zenith as we ask what would happen if you 鈥榩ut the whole of the country into baked beans鈥�. Expect back of the tin workings, cutting edge agri-science research and true public service journalism. Just don鈥檛 ask what the nadir was. Guests: Dr Spencer Thompson - Senior Knowledge Exchange Fellow at the Fraser of Allander Institute Professor Marian Knight - Director of the National Perinatal Epidemiology Unit at the University of Oxford Chris Giles - Economics Commentator at the Financial Times Professor Terence Tao - Professor of Mathematics at UCLA Presenter: Tim Harford Series Producer: Tom Colls Reporters: Nathan Gower and Lizzy McNeill Editor: Richard Vadon Programme Coordinator: Maria Ogundele Sound Engineer: James Beard
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